The box score
is lying to you.
We run a projection model on every player in baseball and give him a call: Bullish, Hold or Bearish. Then we grade the model in public, because anybody can be right when nobody's keeping score.
Loading the model…
Buy, hold or sell
Every Cub who played in 2025, priced for 2026. Bullish means the model thinks he beats last year. Bearish means it's time to sell high, and the model feels bad about it too.
wOBA is a single number for how much a hitter helps you score: .315 is about average, .370 and up is All-Star territory. FIP grades a pitcher on what he controls (strikeouts, walks, homers), on the same scale as ERA. Calls flip at ±.012 wOBA for hitters and ±0.35 FIP for pitchers.
The model's loudest opinions
The Cubs get the most attention here, but the model prices all 30 teams. These are its biggest bets for everybody else (regulars only: 400+ PA or 100+ IP last season).
Because it keeps receipts
We tested it on the last three seasons, using only what it could have known at the time. It beat the lazy guess every single year.
See the full scorecard, including the upgrade that flopped.
Get the model's calls in your inbox.
One free email a week in the offseason, a quick one every morning once games start. Trades graded before your group chat finishes arguing about them.
Free. No spam. Unsubscribe whenever the Cubs break your heart.